The Fed Hasn’t Had Control of Inflation Since the 2008 Financial Crisis – That Isn’t Going to Change Now
Theoretically, the Federal Reserve can control inflation. To do so, it simply decreases the money supply by selling its enormous stockpile of bonds rather than buying them. That’s not just theory, that’s how it actually works.
Almost Nobody Beats the S&P Anymore – Not Harvard, Not Buffett, Not Even the Most Respected Hedge Funds in the World
And no one dares to mention it.
A notable exception in this global vow of silence is Mark Hulbert, one of the best writers at MarketWatch (article link below), who recently pointed out a very uncomfortable truth:
It’s hard to beat the S&P.
Famed Stock Trader, Paul Tudor Jones, Says Inflation Is the Biggest Threat to Stock and Bond Markets — We Agree
Despite the Fed's wishful thinking that it's only temporary, rising inflation is the biggest threat to the stock and bond markets -- not only according to our many books predicting the coming big bubble pop, but also according to billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones, who correctly called the 1987 stock market crash.
China’s Real Estate Bubble Threatens the World Economy — But It Likely Won’t Pop Now
The Wall Street Journal wrote an interesting article on China's huge property conglomerate, Evergrande, which is in deep trouble (the link to the article is at the end of this post). Evergrande’s problems reflect a much broader future problem for the Chinese economy.
Wouldn’t it be great if…
Wouldn’t it be great if the talking heads on TV explained what’s really driving the markets?
For example, two weeks ago the market had a big drop due to the release of a transcript of a recent federal Reserve meeting where the members talked about reducing money printing later this year. In addition, there was growing fears of the Delta Covid variant starting to hurt the world’s economy, and evidence that the US economy was slowing faster than expected after the last round of stimulus.
Who Cares if the Market Falls 10%?
The business media and many stock analysts spend an enormous amount of time discussing whether the market is headed for a downturn. However, if you think the market will rebound, as it has in the past, it’s sort of a waste of time to talk about an upcoming correction of 5%, 10% or even 15%.
Check Out This Documentary on “The Power of the Fed”
That's why we were so pleased to see the recent release of a new documentary on the key reasons and risks of the Fed's incredibly enormous money printing since 2008. We highly recommend you check out this video called "The Power of the Fed" https://youtu.be/9RbL8lTsITY
Live Life for Yourself
When I say that, I’m not saying be selfish. I’m saying don’t live life to impress others. So many people really live their lives for other people. They focus very hard on succeeding at goals that will impress others. They could be monetary goals, sports performance goals and even intellectual goals.
There can be societal benefits to that mentality. It encourages people to try harder and do more to succeed. That can be a big plus for society, but it isn’t always a winning strategy for an individual.
Should I Buy a House Now?
We get this question a lot. Obviously, a lot depends on your personal circumstances. But, given how high home prices are now, should you wait for prices to go down?
To answer that, we should look at why house prices are up: 1) a buying frenzy caused by the Covid pandemic and 2) record low mortgage rates – fixed rate 30-year mortgages have at times fallen under 3%.
Real Danger Alert: Inflation is Up, a Lot, Even According to the Government
The federal government's most conservative and minimizing measure of inflation -- the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price index, which ignores food and energy -- rose a stunning 0.7% in April after rising 0.4% in March, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Don’t Worry, Interest Rates Aren’t Going Up – At Least Not Enough to Badly Hurt Stocks
With inflation coming in at an annualized rate of 10% in April, there is fear among some investors that inflation will push up interest rates. Not a chance. Maybe a little increase, but not a lot. The Fed may talk about raising rates, but it won’t do anything big.